Election guessing

Back of the envelope guess about battleground states:

Obama will win PA, NC, VA, OH, CO, NV, NM, NH, ND and MT. Which would be a really huge win, and maybe I'm guessing a few states too far.

McCain will win FL, IN, and GA.

I'll go out on a limb and say the Dems will win 60 Senate seats, too. In 2006, everything broke their way in the Senate - so why not now? Maybe Obama voters will deliver an upset in KY or GA. One can only hope to wave au revoir to Mitch McConnell or Saxby Chambliss.

I don't have any idea about House numbers, but it won't really matter. It would be nice if Marilyn Musgrave, a GOP member in Colorado, loses because she's quite horrible.

And Christine Gregoire will be narrowly re-elected as WA governor. Hard to see how that many voters in WA split their tickets, when the state should be very strong for Obama.

So there are my guesses. But I do remember 1994, when I covered what I assumed would be the losing campaign night of an obnoxious GOP House member on Long Island - and he went on to win, along with Pataki (over Cuomo) and heaps of Republicans. What did I know then - and maybe what do I know now?