Funny, we are just going to bed on Wednesday night, and the US is waking up to heaps of Super Tuesday analysis. I will read it all tomorrow.
My ideas about Super Tuesday:
1. McCain is a terribly weak GOP nominee. Flying leap guess: he'll choose Huckabee as his VP.
2. Hillary won the establishment states: CA, NY, NJ, MA. Obama won Missouri and 12 others, which is a pretty big deal when you consider Hillary's 99.9% national name recognition. If HRC wins the nomination, she would have a hard time winning Missouri in November.
3. Obama would easily beat McCain. Hillary probably would, but that's not a lock.
4. So does this continue all the way to the convention? I'm betting that there's a scandal related to Bill or Hillary, or something dramatic that shakes up the race, not an endlessly drawn-out contest with a scrap for the last delegate. Obama has more money than she does and now more time to introduce himself in states like Ohio - should work in his favor.
5. Edwards will endorse Obama in the next 10 days, and if Obama wins, Edwards will be his Atty General.
How's that for the back of the envelope?
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